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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Kch-Temp | nigiri99 | visselkobe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (3118–1302, n=4420) | 70% (16–7, n=23) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) | 57% (4–3, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | $661K | $592K | $634K | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #256 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #895 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (109 of 201 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 58% (46 of 80 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=653 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 5% of 566) | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 335) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 157) | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 326) | 0% | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Kch-Temp | nigiri99 | visselkobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $17 | Cowboys $15K | 49ers $109K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $19K | Under $22K | — |
| Steelers vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | — | Bengals $16K | Steelers $317 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $4 | — | Raptors $6.1K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $2.0K | — | Clippers $2.8K | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $44 | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $135 | — | Raptors $1.6K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $597 | — | Under $614 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $854 | — | Celtics $283 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $139 | — | Celtics $859 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $681 | — | Spurs $131 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $421 | — | Under $132 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $397 | — | Jazz $84 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Wizards $182 | — | Rockets $90 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | Over $133 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $5.2K | — | Celtics $40K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $79 | — | Over $23K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $539 | — | Raptors $14K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $146 | — | Mavericks $7.1K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers same side · consensus Clippers | Hornets $6.1K | — | Hornets $638 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $149 | — | Over $5.8K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $4.4K | — | Lakers $646 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.2K | — | Jazz $923 | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $617 | — | Under $445 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $22 | — | Celtics $583 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-16.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $249 | — | Celtics $157 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $141 | — | Under $261 | — |