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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakeMadrid | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (928–646, n=1574) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $4.1M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (141 of 194 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (82 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=39 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1462 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 16% of 131) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 48% of 414) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 62% of 512) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 85% of 405) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakeMadrid | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $320 | — | Rams $11K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $5.7K | — | Olympique de Marseille $3 |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | — | Yes $108 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04 | — | FC Schalke 04 $2.0K | — | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Brown Bears $299 | — | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | No $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $231 | — | Virginia Cavaliers $564 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $349 | — | Virginia Cavaliers $2 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | — | Under $7 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $286 | — | No $10 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $159 | — | Under $93 |
| Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $241 | — | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $6 | — | Virginia Cavaliers $49 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $18K | — | No $14K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $17K | — | Under $8.9K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $16K | — | Under $7.7K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $23K | — | No $63 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $7.1K | — | Over $10K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.2K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $13K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.7K | — | No $2.3K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $7.1K | — | No $6 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.4K | — | No $2.9K |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.8K | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $5.5K | — | No $1 |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $934 | — | No $4.4K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $3.2K | — | Over $732 |
| Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.9K | — | No $419 |
| Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Andres Martin | — | Andres Martin $2.8K | — | Andres Martin $22 |
| Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos same side · consensus Boise State Broncos | — | Boise State Broncos $1.2K | — | Boise State Broncos $932 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) same side · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | — | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2.1K | — | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $26 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.4K | — | Yes $234 |
| Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | No $135 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $797 | — | 76ers $371 |
| Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $778 | — | No $296 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $191 | — | Under $523 |
| Fredrikstad FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $339 | — | Under $84 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $80 | — | Over $208 |