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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2239–910, n=3149) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $432K | $318K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #121 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 49% (163 of 330 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 396) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 215) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 63% of 112) | 22% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 265) | 61% (won 100% of 14) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — | Nets $16K |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Wales | — | Wales $16K | — | Norway $5 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | — | Yes $2.7K |
| Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.5K | — | Yes $210 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | — | Under $36 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.6K | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $373 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $423 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $12 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $625 | — | South Carolina $542 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.0K | — | Mavericks $105 |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | — | Over $351 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $435 | — | Over $11 |
| Spread: Wales (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Norway | — | Norway $60 | — | Wales $140 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $4.3K | — | Nets $25K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $377 | — | Heat $15K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $98 | — | Nets $8.6K |
| Norway vs. Wales: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | — | Under $276 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | — | Under $9 |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | Yes $987 | — | Yes $5 |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $689 | — | No $63 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | — | Kansas $3 | — | Kansas $649 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Duke $314 | — | Duke $337 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | — | Georgia State $520 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | Cincinnati $13 | — | Cincinnati $228 |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $41 | — | Over $105 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $41 | — | Yes $3 |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12 | — | Under $5 |