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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmqwerqr1251251RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)72% (123–49, n=172)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$68K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #53was PM monthly #981PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (47 of 61 open)52% (15 of 29 open)100% (3 of 3 open)58% (88 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%97% of 212 at avg 69¢, ROI +29%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)1% (won 0% of 3)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)11% (won 92% of 24)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)36% (won 97% of 77)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 108)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmqwerqr1251251RN1
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $6.8K—Under $4.5K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190KEagles $5.6K—Eagles $11K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KColts $94—Cowboys $3.7K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $131—Giants $9.0K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $3.4K—Eagles $169
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K——76ers $372
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K——No $2.9K
Browns vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Saints
—Browns $113—Saints $70K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $522
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Panthers $6.6K—Broncos $44K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K——No $16K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $285—Rams $17K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133—Rams $15K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.8K—Over $1.4K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745—Rams $5.5K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9K—Under $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3K—Over $1.9K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6K—Over $142
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $97—Over $4.4K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958—Browns $2.7K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50—Browns $3.5K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400——76ers $155
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $5.7K——
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $11K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K——Rams $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K——Bulls $77
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3K—Under $7.7K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $311
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $1.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16—Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $924—Over $337
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $14