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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmrayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)53% (2489–2225, n=4714)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #53was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)72% (126 of 174 open)no open consensus position62% (45 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 96% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)32% (won 98% of 333)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)51% (won 98% of 527)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)14% (won 97% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmrayvanmechelen
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $8.5K—Tommy Paul $10
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9K—Yes $585
Will FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $401—No $300
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $213—No $9
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $197—Under $2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183—Under $10
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—SD Eibar $5
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $122—Under $7
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $59—Jerome Kym $9
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1—Under $31
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $21
Will FC Vizela win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.2K—Yes $882
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $1.0K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.3K—No $4
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Over $6
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Over $9
Will Al Ahli Doha SC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $922—No $450
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $11
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $9
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $913—No $82
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $604—No $378
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $870—No $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $304
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $551—Over $10
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $512—No $9
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $505—Noma Noha Akugue $8
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $211—No $114
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $296—No $10
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $294—No $10
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $191—No $18
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh
same side · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Clement Chidekh $120—Clement Chidekh $10
Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $92—Under $8
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $23—Under $10
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $7—No $2