Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpifyoulovemeUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)56% (351–280, n=631)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$66K$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #303PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)65% (99 of 153 open)79% (55 of 70 open)64% (44 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=87—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%53% of 572 at avg 48¢, ROI +6%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)37% (won 15% of 211)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 55% of 94)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)16% (won 65% of 92)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)31% (won 93% of 175)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpifyoulovemeUpTheBlues
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $39K—Yes $1.6K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10—Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $561—No $1.1K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $64
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328—Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $117—Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $42—No $50
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51—Under $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613—Under $1.4K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $814—Yes $290
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $7
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837—No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $406—Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $872
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $234—No $47
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $38—No $212
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $135—Yes $95
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $93—Yes $72
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $52
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $6
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $7—No $23
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $18—No $6