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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1UnreasonableAwareness
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)64% (151 of 236 open)61% (97 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1UnreasonableAwareness
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $40KNo $6.5K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $148—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823Mauricio Echazu $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713Over $268—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213No $677—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220Hawks $426—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304Thunder $273—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123Over $86—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $31Wizards $89—
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
—Carlos Maria Zarate $21Lucio Ratti $18—
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $3.0KRenata Zarazua $18K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.3KUnder $7.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6KArthur Fils $11K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KYes $378—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $8.2K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $104—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $3.4K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.5KUnder $1.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1KCeltics $215——
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
—Hiroki Sakagawa $1.0KHiroki Sakagawa $719—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $257—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $75—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $77676ers $240—
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $713Yes $250—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $720Over $165—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286Solana Sierra $476—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $383Raptors $124—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $40Under $371—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $172Under $120—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $122Timberwolves $126—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $215Wizards $21—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $162—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8Over $87—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $73Over $19—