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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-P
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)46% (1169–1346, n=2515)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M-$4.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #565
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)65% (180 of 277 open)66% (49 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-P
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $70KPelicans $37Pelicans $318
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $31KJazz $4Pelicans $505
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66Hawks $374Hawks $223
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $321KPacers $538—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $31
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6KTomas Machac $127
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $686No $292
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $644No $235
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $227Over $494
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $477No $99
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $346Pacers $225—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765K—No $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $8.7KCeltics $215—
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.7KHawks $3.6K—
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8KNo $268
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $29
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $3.9K76ers $170
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.8K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $954Pistons $1.0K—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $1.3KHawks $263
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $1.1KWizards $238
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $293
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $671No $463
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $317Yes $690
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $133
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $223Thunder $497
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $522No $128
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $457No $184
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $365Knicks $233
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $515No $28
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $370No $125
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
—Xinyu Wang $222Xinyu Wang $256
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $99No $284
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $122Timberwolves $253
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $11Cavaliers $351
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304Cavaliers $8
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $94Bucks $149
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $142Over $93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $104No $60
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $154
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 0 - 1 CA Mineiro?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9Yes $92
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $32Over $7
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5No $33