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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)82% (5642–1272, n=6914)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$148K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #608PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)74% (83 of 112 open)68% (27 of 40 open)48% (10 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4406 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 262)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 913)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 971)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2260)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-PRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $643No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8KNo $142—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $31—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $50—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $282—Ipek Oz $680
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621No $288—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $335—
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $191Yes $47—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $159Seahawks $7—
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $3.9K—Yosuke Watanuki $15K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494No $1.8K—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $241—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $675—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.1K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $508No $1.2K—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $536No $745—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $186—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155No $966—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359No $328—
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $214No $422—
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $467No $97—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $264No $221—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $159Dolphins $125—
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $222Yes $52—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42