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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-Pjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)81% (5071–1178, n=6249)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$141K$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #569PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)66% (226 of 342 open)66% (47 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-Pjoseph00677
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $90K76ers $7.3K76ers $1.7K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $899Pelicans $36—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $218KPacers $3.6K——
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $75K—Pelicans $294—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $500—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14KBucks $2.4K——
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.8KNo $637—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $1.7KBucks $49—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $1.5K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $659No $288—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $637No $231—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357Pacers $362——
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $98—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297No $112—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $51Mavericks $167—
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $37No $30—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $28Kings $26—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $5.4K76ers $259—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $5.3KBucks $80—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $4.1KBucks $39—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $3.2KThunder $516—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.8K76ers $440—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $880Celtics $1.3K——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $442Pistons $1.5K——
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KOver $98—
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $1.0KKnicks $450—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $299—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $678No $294—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $712Under $259—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $301Yes $655—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $799Over $110—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $734No $132—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $522No $122—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $346Timberwolves $287—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $447No $180—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $367No $118—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
—Xinyu Wang $218Xinyu Wang $252—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $230Mavericks $228—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $362Under $47—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $99No $280—
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $154—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $79Yes $65—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $91No $52—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3No $114—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $60No $22—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4No $32—