← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | GC-P | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 82% (5570–1214, n=6784) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $148K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #529 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (25 of 30 open) | 77% (213 of 275 open) | 66% (67 of 102 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 6% (won 99% of 259) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 21% (won 100% of 895) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 22% (won 100% of 954) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 51% (won 100% of 2163) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | GC-P | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $83K | — | Jaguars $228 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $61K | — | Jaguars $876 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | — | Casper Ruud $43K | Jan-Lennard Struff $314 | — |
| Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $35K | No $287 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | Yes $643 | — |
| Will OFI win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.1K | No $1.3K | — |
| Will SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | Yes $30 | — |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.0K | Yes $203 | — |
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $32 | — |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $937 | Yes $49 | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $621 | No $288 | — |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $553 | No $338 | — |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $808 | Yes $29 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $440 | Warriors $199 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $170 | Seahawks $7 | — |
| Will K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $81 | No $13 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | No $335K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $51K | No $5.1K | — |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $47K | No $7.7K | — |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $24K | No $1.4K | — |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $11K | No $1.5K | — |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $11K | No $543 | — |
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $10K | No $1.3K | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9.3K | Under $819 | — |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.5K | No $1.2K | — |
| Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.3K | No $1.7K | — |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | No $511 | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.2K | No $625 | — |
| Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.5K | No $1.2K | — |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.1K | No $560 | — |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.6K | No $1.1K | — |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.7K | No $89 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $499 | No $1.8K | — |
| Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | No $177 | — |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | No $234 | — |
| Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.7K | Yes $298 | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | No $394 | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $147 | — |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | No $188 | — |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $457 | No $831 | — |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $739 | No $133 | — |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $802 | Yes $42 | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $359 | No $328 | — |
| Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $270 | No $161 | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | No $8 | No $382 | — |
| Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $219 | Yes $115 | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $156 | No $168 | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $96 | No $221 | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $159 | Dolphins $128 | — |