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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCharityStripeFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)49% (324–335, n=659)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M-$71K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #943PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)60% (3 of 5 open)70% (131 of 186 open)61% (43 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NFL +39 pts n=80, ROI +41%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=57, ROI +26%
  • NBA +31 pts n=105, ROI +20%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%85% of 354 at avg 53¢, ROI +27%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)2% (won 38% of 8)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)29% (won 76% of 104)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)61% (won 90% of 217)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)7% (won 92% of 25)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCharityStripeFlaznorpRN1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $26KYes $11K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $10KNo $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.4KOver $16
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.9KYes $172
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KOver $972
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $32
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chelsea FC
——Chelsea FC $1.3KSunderland AFC $3
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $376KNo $54K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $116KYes $16K
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
——Sunderland AFC $50KSunderland AFC $4.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
——Toby Samuel $5.9KToby Samuel $31K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $22KNo $14K
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $12K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $11KCarlos Alcaraz $12K
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $12KUnder $8.8K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $15KNo $4.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AC Monza win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.4KNo $652
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $6.7KOver $3.3K
Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.6KNo $3.9K
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.3KNo $475
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.3KUnder $903
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $25
AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $766Over $912
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $40Yes $5