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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Better-ManBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)72% (308–121, n=429)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$69K$7.3M$3.7M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #633PM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus97% (33 of 34 open)88% (22 of 25 open)72% (297 of 414 open)51% (46 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −4 pts, n=101—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won66% of 437 at avg 62¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 9% of 126)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 23% of 26)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 82% of 33)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 252)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBetter-ManBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
——Mika Brunold $7.5KBorna Gojo $22K
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
——Leeds United FC $20KTottenham Hotspur FC $30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $9.3KOver $1.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
——Lorenzo Sonego $8.1KOlle Wallin $38
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.8KYes $68
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.6KYes $394
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $95
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $973Over $360
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $113
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $524
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
——Tottenham Hotspur FC $629Leeds United FC $1
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $445Yes $152
Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $342Yes $2
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur
——Damir Dzumhur $169Inaki Montes $169
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $275Yes $27
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $226Yes $4
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $109Yes $8
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC
——Leeds United FC $39Tottenham Hotspur FC $46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $69KNo $19K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7KYes $75K——
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34KUnder $6.7K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $28KNo $11K
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $16KNo $12K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Noma Noha Akugue $1.4KNoma Noha Akugue $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $4.4KBianca Andreescu $8.3K
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $12KUnder $205
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.1KUnder $1.8K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.1KUnder $395
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.6KNo $1.5K
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $3.0K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
——Matteo Martineau $577Matteo Martineau $3.6K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.4KNo $434
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $455No $3.1K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $3.0KYes $84
Will Persijap Jepara win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.2K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.1KUnder $14
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $536No $1.5K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $800
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $440
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $14No $1.3K