Culture: what top Polymarket traders hold
Celebrities, internet culture and everything popular. These are the Culture markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 14
- Recently settled, consensus right
- —
- Prices as of
- Oct 25, 07:19 UTC
Live Culture consensus markets (14)
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Traders hold No 57%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 96¢$82K held
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Traders hold No 100%11 of 11 tradersMarket price 95¢$50K held
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Traders hold No 60%6 of 11 tradersMarket price 92¢$44K held
- Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Traders hold No 78%7 of 9 tradersMarket price 93¢$37K held
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Traders hold No 63%5 of 8 tradersMarket price 97¢$6K held
- Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Traders hold No 88%7 of 8 tradersMarket price 79¢$5K held
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Traders hold No 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 97¢$2K held
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Traders hold No 86%6 of 7 tradersMarket price 78¢$9K held
- Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Traders hold No 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 94¢$3K held
- Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Traders hold No 100%6 of 6 tradersMarket price 86¢$3K held
- Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Traders hold No 100%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 80¢$8K held
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Traders hold No 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 88¢$6K held
- Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Traders hold No 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 97¢$4K held
- Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Traders hold No 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 79¢$3K held
Top traders in Culture
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Culture consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.WongKimArk+39 ptsside won 82% of 11 · avg entry 43¢ · ROI +29%
- 2.hi774c+21 ptsside won 96% of 25 · avg entry 75¢ · ROI +18%
- 3.kkookkoo+6 ptsside won 99% of 104 · avg entry 93¢ · ROI +4%
- 4.SchruteBucks+20 ptsside won 91% of 22 · avg entry 71¢ · ROI +6%
- 5.arbfinder2026+11 ptsside won 81% of 59 · avg entry 70¢ · ROI 0%
- 6.TheQuietRisk+7 ptsside won 18% of 51 · avg entry 10¢ · ROI +8%
- 7.pup1+10 ptsside won 21% of 28 · avg entry 11¢ · ROI +23%
- 8.Scotty155+3 ptsside won 9% of 114 · avg entry 6¢ · ROI 0%
- 9.Kevindoto+9 ptsside won 16% of 19 · avg entry 7¢ · ROI +5%
- 10.ScottyNooo+4 ptsside won 18% of 65 · avg entry 15¢ · ROI +1%
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.