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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (20–18, n=38)66% (499–256, n=755)
Consensus PnL—-$43K-$130K
Tracked asPM monthly #630PM monthly #102PM monthly #48 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position37% (15 of 41 open)63% (149 of 238 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 100% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf6aacd6b951f2667f966f9428667961bc40acd84-1793346180905primmRN1
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $17KOver $1.0K
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $6.7KCentral Michigan $5.0K
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.9KUnder $2.6K
UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.4KOver $3.8K
UMass vs. Toledo
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $7.0KUMass $25
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $5.6KUMass $1.1K
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Central Michigan (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $2.3KCentral Michigan $2.8K
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $4.6KUMass $501
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $4.4KUMass $542
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—Toledo $4.3KUMass $438
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $1.9KCentral Michigan $1.9K
Spread: Central Michigan (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Central Michigan $699Sacramento State $2.8K
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $2.5KCentral Michigan $679
Spread: Buffalo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
—Ball State $28Buffalo $3.0K
Spread: Central Michigan (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $1.5KCentral Michigan $1.3K
Spread: Central Michigan (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Central Michigan $438Sacramento State $2.0K
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 35.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KOver $950
Spread: Buffalo (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
—Ball State $861Buffalo $955
Spread: Toledo (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—Toledo $1.8KUMass $36
Spread: Central Michigan (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $1.1KCentral Michigan $524
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—UMass $780Toledo $728
Spread: Central Michigan (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Central Michigan $401Sacramento State $923
UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $185Over $931
Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $142Central Michigan $861
Spread: Toledo (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—UMass $222Toledo $738
UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $281Under $480
Spread: Central Michigan (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Central Michigan $25Sacramento State $14
Spread: Ball State (-1.5)
same side · consensus Buffalo
—Ball State $195Ball State $385
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus Buffalo
—Ball State $270Ball State $66