← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (28–15, n=43) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2K | $8.4M | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 65% (144 of 221 open) | 55% (39 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=20 | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 30 at avg 58¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 0% of 9) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 50% of 2) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $12K | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | — | — | Tom Gentzsch $5.2K | Max Houkes $698 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $872 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $10 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $169 | Cavaliers $708 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $626 | Over $17 |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $619 | Yes $7 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $270 | Over $241 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $412 | Under $56 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $148 | Yes $85 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Nuggets $25 | Rockets $146 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $31 | Over $16 |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | — | — | Clement Tabur $2.0K | Clement Tabur $25K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.4K |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $16K | Bills $77 | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | — | Billy Harris $1.7K | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.0K | Under $4.4K |
| Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | — | Filip Misolic $1.7K | Filip Misolic $1.9K |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $636 | Under $2.6K |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux | — | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Pelicans $1.8K | Pelicans $158 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $556 | Lakers $485 |
| Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $264 | No $667 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $333 | Lakers $461 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $364 | Lakers $416 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $578 | No $34 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | — | Pistons $186 | Pistons $248 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $290 | No $2 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | — | Cavaliers $170 | Cavaliers $111 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Raptors $162 | Raptors $116 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $77 | Under $196 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $90 | Under $114 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4 | Under $28 |