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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)54% (448–384, n=832)85% (22–4, n=26)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$332K$318K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #13PM monthly #10PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)45% (144 of 321 open)66% (185 of 280 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)60% (won 100% of 135)22% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 16)61% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10KCavaliers $5.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $298Nets $14K—
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $8.4K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $314Under $8.0K—
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $420Pistons $2.7K—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $96Over $828—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $625South Carolina $263—
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $98Under $422—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $48—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Kraken $355—
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Chicago Ramblers
—Colorado State Rams $2Loyola Chicago Ramblers $243—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $93Penn Quakers $148—
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $224Providence Friars $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $105Under $67—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $28George Mason Patriots $66—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $17K—
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves
—Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.0KCharleston Southern Buccaneers $1.8K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $3Kansas $6.6K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Cavaliers $3.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $320Over $1.7K—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $73George Mason Patriots $1.3K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $15Kraken $740—
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
same side · consensus George Mason Patriots
—George Mason Patriots $696George Mason Patriots $9—
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $37Under $615—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $22Under $237—
Spread: Winthrop Eagles (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jackson State Tigers
—Winthrop Eagles $24Winthrop Eagles $181—
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams
same side · consensus Loyola Chicago Ramblers
—Loyola Chicago Ramblers $197Loyola Chicago Ramblers $1—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
same side · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $64Bradley Braves $108—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $54Under $100—
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $9Kraken $116—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $4Northern Kentucky Norse $6—