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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x91c6d572e85be51494ce8b8a030e4e587b196bf7FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #852PM monthly #10PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (177 of 237 open)45% (52 of 115 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won0% of 1 at avg 1¢, ROI 0%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢0%16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢0%15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x91c6d572e85be51494ce8b8a030e4e587b196bf7FlaznorpRN1
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Kentucky $2Tennessee $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K
Will Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1KYes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.8KNo $195
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $2.7KKnicks $188
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
—Newcastle United FC $2.5KFulham FC $48
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $67Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $1.8KJan Simonsson $7
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KUnder $264
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $256Wizards $720
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $245Yes $715
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $8
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $23KCarlos Alcaraz $9.8K
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $6.7K
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $16KOver $5.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.2KThiago Seyboth Wild $8.3K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $12KKnicks $1.8K
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11KYes $2.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.5K
Iowa vs. Northwestern
same side · consensus Iowa
—Iowa $3.8KIowa $5.2K
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.9KNo $1.1K
Wizards vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $3.4KThunder $1.3K
Air Force vs. Army
same side · consensus Army
—Air Force $30Air Force $4.4K
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $257
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $1.9KNets $262
Rockets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Rockets
—Suns $1.8KSuns $84
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $124No $1.5K
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $240
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $421No $299
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $495Over $61
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $465Under $6
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $129Over $253
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $115Under $113
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Magic $122Magic $39
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $34Maple Leafs $8