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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788FlaznorpNM-P
Record (consensus markets)54% (94–79, n=173)50% (5–5, n=10)75% (1078–358, n=1436)50% (52–52, n=104)
Consensus PnL-$250K$410K$138K-$2.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #45PM monthly #23PM monthly #435
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)0% (0 of 1 open)70% (120 of 171 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=23, ROI +40%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=15, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%52% of 234 at avg 50¢, ROI −3%100% of 31 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)20% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 8% of 73)6% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 20)20% (won 100% of 1)25% (won 46% of 59)55% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 35)60% (won 100% of 3)15% (won 68% of 34)19% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 21)0%29% (won 97% of 68)19% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788FlaznorpNM-P
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus Vitality
—FURIA $14KVitality $58—
Brisbane 3: Carl Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang
opposite sides · consensus Juncheng Shang
Carl Overbeck $4.5K—Juncheng Shang $5.5K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Humbert
——Lorenzo Musetti $919Ugo Humbert $143
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff
opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $849Marta Kostyuk $54
Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $337Yes $419
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 India?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $474Yes $30
Will Türkiye win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $135No $350
Will Türkiye vs. Belgium end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $95No $266
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
——Alex Michelsen $2Alejandro Tabilo $225
Will Namibia win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4No $99
Exact Score: Italy 2 - 0 France?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $21
Will France win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $21KNo $2.6K
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.4K—Teletubisie $615—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.3KNo $1.5K
Will Somalia win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $175
Italy vs. France: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $928No $1
Will Latvia win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——No $689No $161
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $474No $294
Will Montenegro win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——No $263No $373
Will Albania vs. Finland end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $352Yes $283
Will Barbados win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——No $541No $29
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $447No $114
Will India win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $320Yes $15
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $324Under $8
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko
same side · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
——Alexander Shevchenko $10Alexander Shevchenko $115
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $95—Vikings $6—
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?
same side · consensus No
——No $13No $75
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
——No $12No $54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21?
same side · consensus No
——No $8No $34