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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)46% (1169–1346, n=2515)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M-$4.9K$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #17PM monthly #611PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)64% (151 of 237 open)71% (58 of 82 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4KArthur Fils $5.6KTomas Machac $127—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270KNo $40KNo $6.2K—
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $267KNo $2.0KNo $1.4K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160Under $2.5KUnder $727—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KNo $360—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.4KOver $2.1K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $686No $292—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $644No $235—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $193—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $60Yes $73—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $117—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $21—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $186K—Yes $2.5K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25KOver $17K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.3K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $1.5K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.2KYes $14—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $29—
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KUnder $672—
Bucks vs. Celtics
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $2.1KCeltics $1.8K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.3KUnder $390—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.8K—
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $596—
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $535—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $293—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $671No $463—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $317Yes $690—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $77676ers $170—
Exact Score: AEK 0 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
same side · consensus No
—No $287No $618—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $133—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $223Thunder $497—
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $387No $298—
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $375Over $300—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $457No $184—
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $106No $510—
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $522No $58—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $515No $28—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $370No $125—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $477Yes $16—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $118Under $357—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $122Timberwolves $253—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $11Cavaliers $351—
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $97No $233—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304Cavaliers $8—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40——
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $154—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $91No $60—
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $99No $18—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $32Over $7—