Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)66% (3066–1599, n=4665)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)50% (20538–20353, n=40891)
Consensus PnL$207K$3.3M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #24PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus71% (15 of 21 open)74% (141 of 191 open)54% (15 of 28 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $14KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $456No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $455Under $1.1KOver $2.7KUnder $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.1KUnder $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $75No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $600Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $380No $831Yes $61No $172
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $755Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $345
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $439Under $102Under $1.1KUnder $945
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $625Yes $2.6K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $289—Over $360Under $7.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $225—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $981Yes $466No $529—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $652Over $1.0K—Over $7
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $519No $548—Yes $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161No $289
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28Under $12
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $411—Under $677
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42Under $791
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $422—Under $768
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $705Yes $140
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103—Over $54
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $125—Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $109—Yes $2
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
—Antonia Ruzic $26KAntonia Ruzic $81K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
—Alexandra Shubladze $18KAlexandra Shubladze $42K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
—Zeynep Sonmez $9.2KZeynep Sonmez $34K—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Sho Shimabukuro $6.2KSho Shimabukuro $3.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $33——Yes $3.8K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $1.3K—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $154
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $746—Yes $270
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $206—No $42
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $135—Yes $95
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $102—Yes $79
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $64——Yes $79
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $60
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $46——No $3