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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2503–1011, n=3514)53% (471–414, n=885)85% (22–4, n=26)
Consensus PnL$0$488K$358K$367K
Tracked asPM monthly #968PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #142
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position47% (77 of 165 open)63% (148 of 235 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $310Nets $17K—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $11KCavaliers $5.3K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $310Under $8.1K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia Southern $5.0K—
LSU Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—Gonzaga Bulldogs $1.2KLSU Tigers $2—
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $209Under $984—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637South Carolina $258—
Spread: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus UNC Asheville Bulldogs
—UNC Asheville Bulldogs $614Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets $7—
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $97Under $426—
Longwood Lancers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $47Over $348—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
—San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $148—
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $226Providence Friars $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $65—
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wake Forest Demon Deacons
—Wake Forest Demon Deacons $93Southern Utah Thunderbirds $3—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
—San Francisco Dons $42Portland State Vikings $44—
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—Gonzaga Bulldogs $52LSU Tigers $3—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2Nets $10—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $18K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $6Kansas $13K—
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus West Georgia Wolves
—Charleston Southern Buccaneers $6.9KCharleston Southern Buccaneers $3.6K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Cavaliers $3.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $38Under $632—
Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-15.5)
same side · consensus East Carolina Pirates
—East Carolina Pirates $104East Carolina Pirates $508—
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $134Blackhawks $129—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $229—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $54Under $100—
LSU Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 161.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $149Over $5—