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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Lanlanlanlanndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)59% (129–90, n=219)63% (1095–631, n=1726)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$12K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #790PM monthly #118PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (45 of 69 open)no open consensus position71% (70 of 98 open)55% (65 of 118 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 180 at avg 71¢, ROI +7%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 62% of 13)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 75% of 61)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—59% (won 92% of 106)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Lanlanlanlanndb1RN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $35K——Under $2.3K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $14K——Rams $1.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $15K——Cowboys $115
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $9.9K——Chiefs $867
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $4.1K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $30——Giants $4.2K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6K——Over $2.3K
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Karl Poling $45——Filip Jeff Planinsek $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.1K——Under $8
Hersonissos 3: Leo Raquillet vs Lorenzo Carboni
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Carboni $1.1K——Leo Raquillet $35
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $327——Stefan Kozlov $485
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $455——76ers $121
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $41Yes $97
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $38K——Over $3.2K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39K——Over $1.4K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $33K——Rams $66
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $31K——Lions $2.0K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $27K——Over $991
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $13K——Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
same side · consensus Saints
Browns $13K——Browns $681
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $11K——Over $417
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5.9K——Under $349
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $5——Justin Boulais $5.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Cowboys $3.6K——Cowboys $977
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
same side · consensus SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg $1.5K——SC Freiburg $3.0K
Lima: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ignacio Monzon
same side · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
Santiago De la Fuente $4——Santiago De la Fuente $2.1K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $213——Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $1.5K——Panthers $28
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold $880——Sønderjyske Fodbold $19