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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpLFOA95primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)100% (1–0, n=1)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$15K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #979PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus59% (46 of 78 open)71% (115 of 161 open)no open consensus position52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 42¢, ROI +58%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)100% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)0%49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpLFOA95primm
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $60KBroncos $1.4K—Panthers $6.6K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $863——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $20KClippers $7——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9.1K——Under $6.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K76ers $764——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.4K——Over $3.9K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8.0KUnder $376——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Under $5.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Under $4.6K
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $3.5K——Commanders $133
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26——Under $3.3K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K——Saints $16
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $924
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $80——
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4Calvin Hemery $973——
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $597——Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $332——Colts $76
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Cowboys $77——Colts $94
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
Eagles $60K——Eagles $5.6K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $48KLinda Noskova $2.7K——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $19K——Over $6.8K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
Stefan Kozlov $17KStefan Kozlov $6.5K——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63—Colts $5.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
Eagles $195——Eagles $3.4K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $108——Eagles $957
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118Under $297——
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $22——Eagles $195
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53——Eagles $131