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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99PuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)54% (448–384, n=832)55% (392–321, n=713)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$670K$332K$426K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #9PM monthly #104PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)68% (90 of 132 open)43% (29 of 67 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 37% of 79)—
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 68)24% (won 59% of 138)—
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)60% (won 100% of 127)43% (won 72% of 243)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 15)19% (won 98% of 107)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99PuckaBegemota
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K—
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $3.1KNets $13—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5KUSC $2—
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983—
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
—Ohio State $450Northwestern $2.0K—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
—Mississippi State $392Auburn $370—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $63Vanderbilt $13—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $1.5K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $9.2K—Team Falcons $609—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
—Kennesaw State $2.8KKennesaw State $1.3K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.1K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $200—
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KUnder $5—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.1KHeat $47—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $870—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $263South Carolina $542—
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
—BYU $297BYU $355—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $459Pelicans $96—
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
—Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $41Kraken $51—