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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
duratio12FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (31–33, n=64)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$14K$3.7M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #867PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (193 of 290 open)75% (9 of 12 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 78% of 9)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 79% of 19)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 95% of 19)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 100% of 18)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketduratio12FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $478—Magda Linette $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Under $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $272—No $1.9K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $368—Under $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $67—Over $1.8K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $451—No $412
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $15—Under $282
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151—Yes $38
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $83—Under $88
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $140
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $136—Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $115—Under $11
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19—Yes $50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $8
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $56K—No $26K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.5K—No $8.7K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $9.2K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.3K—Yes $1.6K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.0K—Under $905
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $5.1K—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $69
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $513
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.5K—Yes $63
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $612—No $1.7K
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.0K—Under $14
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $324—No $1.3K
Will Manisa Futbol Kulubu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $124—No $1.5K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $689—Under $693
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Leeds United FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $817—No $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $566—No $5
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $465—Under $6
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $186—Under $1