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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | UnreasonableAwareness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6555–6124, n=12679) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | $14.8M | -$75K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #182 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (311 of 431 open) | 71% (59 of 83 open) | 48% (47 of 97 open) | 11% (1 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | UnreasonableAwareness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | Under $31K | Under $7.4K | — |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC | Leeds United FC $20K | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $28 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $9.5K | — | Over $1.1K | — |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.8K | — | Yes $92 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego | Lorenzo Sonego $8.4K | — | Olle Wallin $13 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.6K | — | Over $2.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | Yes $51 | — |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.5K | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Samsunspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.2K | — | Over $9 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | Yes $333 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $360 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.4K | — | Under $112 | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | Over $11 | — |
| Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $139 | — |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $113 | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | Tottenham Hotspur FC $629 | — | Leeds United FC $1 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes opposite sides · consensus Damir Dzumhur | Damir Dzumhur $325 | — | Inaki Montes $169 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $474 | — | Yes $4 | — |
| Will Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $342 | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Will Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $275 | — | Yes $27 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Exact Score: 1. FC Nürnberg 0 - 1 SV Darmstadt 98? opposite sides · consensus No | No $226 | — | Yes $4 | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 2 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $109 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Tottenham Hotspur FC | Leeds United FC $39 | — | Tottenham Hotspur FC $18 | — |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $71K | — | No $18K | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $28K | — | No $11K | — |
| Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $16K | — | No $12K | — |
| Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | Noma Noha Akugue $1.6K | — | Noma Noha Akugue $16K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K | — |
| Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5) same side · consensus Holstein Kiel | Holstein Kiel $7.6K | — | Holstein Kiel $988 | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Hull City AFC $5.2K | Hull City AFC $2.9K | — | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $578 | Under $6.4K | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.0K | — | Under $1.9K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $6.1K | — | Under $397 | — |
| Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau same side · consensus Matteo Martineau | Matteo Martineau $1.3K | — | Matteo Martineau $4.3K | — |
| Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | No $1.5K | — |
| VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | Under $3.0K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | No $504 | — |
| Will Persijap Jepara win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $533 | — | No $2.9K | — |
| Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC? same side · consensus No | No $455 | — | No $2.8K | — |