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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (896–472, n=1368)50% (15330–15412, n=30742)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$4.5M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #100PM monthly #60
Sides with the consensus76% (132 of 173 open)no open consensus position76% (31 of 41 open)45% (49 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1omnibus-076daa
Lakers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $4.3K——Kings $1.1K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $2.2K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3K——Yes $432
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $14
W35 Hamamatsu: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sera Nishimoto
opposite sides · consensus Sera Nishimoto
Sera Nishimoto $1.1K——Shiho Tsujioka $216
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $642——Yes $203
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $811——Tommy Paul $23
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $439——Yes $358
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514——Under $207
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2——Over $664
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $197——Over $166
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $267——Yes $70
Will Lion City Sailors FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $259——Yes $73
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $264——Over $29
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $226——Over $13
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $36
W100 Incheon: Xinyu Gao vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
opposite sides · consensus Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Xinyu Gao $137——Priska Madelyn Nugroho $14
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $134——Yes $2
Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $120——Yes $2
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte $2——Tiphanie Lemaitre $98
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $43——Over $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K——Under $1.7K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K——No $9.9K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.4K——No $173
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller $745——Alexandre Muller $2.0K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.1K——No $119
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.2K——Clippers $7
W35 Hamamatsu: Chia Yi Tsao vs Kisa Yoshioka
same side · consensus Chia Yi Tsao
Chia Yi Tsao $810——Chia Yi Tsao $8
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $227——Xinyu Wang $512
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $687——Under $37
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
No $697——No $6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $665——No $27
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $446——No $19
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $251——No $110
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
Energetik Mingechevir $300——Energetik Mingechevir $2
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $160——Yes $29