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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677justbusiness11UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)43% (10–13, n=23)78% (32–9, n=41)51% (28353–27352, n=55705)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$26K$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #932PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus69% (78 of 113 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (46 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%83% of 40 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)0%7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)28% (won 64% of 11)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 67% of 6)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)57% (won 96% of 23)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677justbusiness11UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.8K——No $14K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9——Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686——No $929
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $721——Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $67
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $328——Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $118——Over $54
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $32——No $62
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51——Under $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K——Under $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $13K——No $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K——No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $872——Under $2.0K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $118
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $768——Yes $260
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $412——Under $606
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $837——No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $872
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $956——Over $7
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $161——Over $215
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $40——No $200
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $185——No $35
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112——Yes $79
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $175——CD Pamplona $8
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112——Yes $52
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $78——Yes $60
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $49——Over $5
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $7——No $23
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $18——No $6