No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #789 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #789
Record (90 d)
8/8 · 100%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
33 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 69¢- Soccer
+12 pts
side won 81% of 32 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 64% of 11)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 80% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 52%(won 94% of 17)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.