Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)67% (6–3, n=9)48% (670–739, n=1409)
Consensus PnL$528K$526$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #883PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus45% (82 of 181 open)44% (4 of 9 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)—5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)—34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)—52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)—9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $310—Packers $15K
Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K—Over $8.6K
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.4K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K—Over $300
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $83—
Helsinki: Cezar Cretu vs Felix Alopaeus
opposite sides · consensus Cezar Cretu
Cezar Cretu $1.0K—Felix Alopaeus $8
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $578—Yes $2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus GamerLegion
PARIVISION $19—PARIVISION $20K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $612—Seahawks $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165—Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Helsinki: Jay Clarke vs Arvid Nordquist
same side · consensus Jay Clarke
Arvid Nordquist $1.0K—Arvid Nordquist $3.8K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $489—76ers $2.7K
Unicaja vs. Basquet Girona
same side · consensus Unicaja
Unicaja $1.5K—Unicaja $204
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
Vadym Ursu $977—Vadym Ursu $37
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8—Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $610—Under $317
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $683Yes $44—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $156—Mavericks $533
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $411Yes $26—
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
Omega $3—Omega $118
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Arabian Aces
Royal Desert Champions $31—Royal Desert Champions $78
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $13—No $7