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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)67% (6–3, n=9)48% (670–739, n=1409)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$528K$526$885K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #883PM monthly #14PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus47% (89 of 189 open)44% (4 of 9 open)54% (22 of 41 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)—5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)—34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)—52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)—9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165—Falcons $15KChiefs $6.4K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $310—Packers $15KVikings $5.9K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $19KLions $36K
Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K—Over $8.6K—
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.4K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K—Over $300—
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $83——
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $161—Over $11—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $14KVikings $8.3K
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
PARIVISION $18—PARIVISION $20K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $612—Seahawks $19K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $489—76ers $2.7K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.3K—No $130—
Unicaja vs. Basquet Girona
same side · consensus Unicaja
Unicaja $1.5K—Unicaja $204—
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
Vadym Ursu $977—Vadym Ursu $37—
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8—Under $972—
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $610—Under $317—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $683Yes $44——
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $156—Mavericks $533—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $411Yes $26——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $16——Cowboys $279
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Arabian Aces
Royal Desert Champions $55—Royal Desert Champions $77—
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
Omega $3—Omega $118—
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35—Yes $44—