Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorphortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)55% (22–18, n=40)71% (2821–1175, n=3996)67% (6–3, n=9)48% (670–739, n=1409)
Consensus PnL$883K$528K$526$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #8PM monthly #883PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (90 of 189 open)44% (4 of 9 open)55% (23 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 531)—5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢59% (won 100% of 13)24% (won 38% of 315)—34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 61% of 150)—52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 320)—9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorphortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $310—Packers $15K
Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.1K—Over $8.6K
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.4K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $300
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.3KYes $83—
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $171—Over $11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
—PARIVISION $18—PARIVISION $20K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $612—Seahawks $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165—Falcons $15K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $489—76ers $2.7K
Unicaja vs. Basquet Girona
same side · consensus Unicaja
—Unicaja $1.5K—Unicaja $204
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
—Vadym Ursu $977—Vadym Ursu $37
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $610—Under $317
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $683Yes $44—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $156—Mavericks $533
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $411Yes $26—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Arabian Aces
—Royal Desert Champions $55—Royal Desert Champions $77
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
—Omega $3—Omega $118
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $35—Yes $44
Montevideo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Santiago De la Fuente
same side · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
—Santiago De la Fuente $9—Santiago De la Fuente $7