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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | frgdrgdrgdg3434 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 80% (4–1, n=5) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $21K | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (141 of 216 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (39 of 72 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | frgdrgdrgdg3434 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Over $1.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch | Tom Gentzsch $5.2K | — | Max Houkes $698 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | — | Under $10 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $169 | — | Cavaliers $708 | — |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $626 | — | Over $17 | — |
| Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus No | No $619 | — | Yes $7 | — |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $270 | — | Over $241 | — |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $412 | — | Under $56 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | No $12 | — |
| Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $148 | — | Yes $85 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Nuggets $25 | — | Rockets $146 | — |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $31 | — | Over $16 | — |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | Clement Tabur $2.0K | — | Clement Tabur $25K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K | — |
| CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.0K | — | Under $4.4K | — |
| Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan same side · consensus Filip Misolic | Filip Misolic $1.7K | — | Filip Misolic $1.9K | — |
| CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $636 | — | Under $2.6K | — |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $169 | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Pelicans $1.8K | — | Pelicans $158 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $556 | — | Lakers $485 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați? same side · consensus No | No $264 | — | No $667 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $333 | — | Lakers $461 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $364 | — | Lakers $416 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $578 | — | No $34 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | Pistons $186 | — | Pistons $248 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $290 | — | No $2 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $170 | — | Cavaliers $111 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Raptors $162 | — | Raptors $116 | — |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $77 | — | Under $196 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | Under $41 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $90 | — | Under $114 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | Over $29 | — |
| FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4 | — | Under $8 | — |