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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 40% (75–114, n=189) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $14.8M | $316K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #139 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (181 of 278 open) | 60% (130 of 216 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 19% (won 14% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 26% (won 44% of 50) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 29% (won 59% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 25% (won 77% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
47 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.1K | Yes $4.8K | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $333 | Central Michigan $5.6K | — |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.2K | Over $69 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | No $2.6K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K | — |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $196 | No $2.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | — |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $163 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu | Maxwell McKennon $823 | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | No $529 | — |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $977 | No $5 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $713 | Over $268 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $912 | Yes $11 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $273 | — |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $557 | Over $10 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $225 | Grizzlies $118 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Hawks $237 | Wizards $98 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Lakers $27 | Kings $253 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $246 | Under $4 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $98 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $123 | Over $86 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $32 | Pacers $139 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $4 | Pelicans $126 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | 76ers $9 | Pistons $109 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $5.6K | Arthur Fils $11K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K | — |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $4.8K | No $2.6K | — |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $5.6K | Under $181 | — |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K | — |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $2.5K | No $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $3.9K | 76ers $240 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $1.3K | Hawks $678 | — |
| Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | Yes $837 | Yes $961 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $42 | No $1.3K | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $75 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $101 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $421 | No $742 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $684 | Over $451 | — |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | CA Mineiro $1.1K | CA Mineiro $34 | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $684 | Over $149 | — |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | Solana Sierra $286 | Solana Sierra $476 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $720 | Under $20 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $599 | Under $140 | — |
| Spread: Wizards (-1.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $429 | Hawks $288 | — |