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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)40% (75–113, n=188)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$14.8M$315K
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus75% (21 of 28 open)68% (226 of 332 open)59% (145 of 245 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)26% (won 44% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)29% (won 59% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)25% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

47 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1UnderperformingForALiving
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $12K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KCeltics $1.3KBucks $765—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6KRaptors $379Raptors $275—
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $34K76ers $7.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $4.2KCeltics $485—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $429Hornets $3.2K——
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0KBulls $156——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0KGrizzlies $649——
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $2.2KCeltics $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274Under $1.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $1.7KBucks $57—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $23—
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bulls $1.4KKnicks $158—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $138—
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Senators $66Sabres $1.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $39976ers $891——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $12—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $988Bulls $47—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $873Over $57—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $82—Under $830—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $698Under $87—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $723Under $8—
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78Over $535—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $529Over $46—
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $555Bulls $16—
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $329Over $235—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $438Under $106—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $308Pacers $180—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $336Grizzlies $123—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $429Over $6—
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $317Pistons $49—
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $200Raptors $130—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $278—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $28Kings $250—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $99—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $46Under $169—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $128Over $85—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $100Over $2—
Spread: Pistons (-21.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $32Pistons $63—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $32Under $14—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108KThunder $3.6K——
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $26K—Central Michigan $1.1K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $20KSacramento State $215——
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16KSuns $2.5K——