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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)40% (78–118, n=196)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M$313K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus76% (84 of 111 open)no open consensus position45% (10 of 22 open)20% (1 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%50% of 197 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)27% (won 44% of 54)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)30% (won 58% of 59)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)24% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1UnderperformingForALiving
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $17K—Zeynep Sonmez $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $282—Ipek Oz $680—
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $4.5K—Yosuke Watanuki $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42—