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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)40% (78–118, n=196)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$14.8M$315K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #134
Sides with the consensus69% (126 of 182 open)69% (59 of 86 open)54% (28 of 52 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)26% (won 44% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)29% (won 59% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)25% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
Andres Andrade $4.6K—James Kent Trotter $9.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $279—Ipek Oz $678—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $81—Warriors $500—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $444—Warriors $107—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $131—Yes $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.5K—Thiago Seyboth Wild $12K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8.9K—Over $1.1K—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $6.0K—No $3.6K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
Florida Atlantic $41—Florida Atlantic $6.2K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Over $1.2K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $607—No $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Under $322—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Canucks $22—Canucks $1.2K—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $948—Yes $118—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $490—No $138—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
Canucks $143—Canucks $354—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8—Under $313—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $174—Warriors $97—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $146—Over $20—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $27—Under $11—