Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu

16 of 21 top Polymarket traders hold Bianca Andreescu (76%) · Bianca Andreescu at 100¢ · $17K held · ends Nov 11

Jazmin Ortenzi<1¢Bianca Andreescu>99¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Bianca Andreescu

Consensus Traders

Bianca Andreescu 76%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$17.0K

Combined PnL

$777.71

Smart Money Entry

91.4¢ → 100¢

+9% since entry · 16 traders

Research grade

NeutralBianca Andreescu at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Bianca Andreescu

16 of 21 top traders (76%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Jazmin Ortenzi0%

Bianca Andreescu100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Bianca Andreescu16 traders

Total Value$16.1K

Total Shares16,479

Combined PnL+$790.01

Jazmin Ortenzi5 traders

Total Value$237.07

Total Shares1,277

Combined PnL-$12.3

Bianca Andreescu — 76%Jazmin Ortenzi — 24%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LI LightParadox	Bianca Andreescuavg 95.2¢	$4.7K	$4.9K	+$109.95	52% 1149-1045 (2194)
RN1	Bianca Andreescuavg 86.4¢	$2.8K	$3.2K	+$358.51	53% 60065-52434 (112499)
MA MadridTime	Bianca Andreescuavg 93.6¢	$2.8K	$2.9K	+$76.94	51% 1095-1048 (2143)
TH thestingsnake	Bianca Andreescuavg 88.3¢	$1.6K	$1.8K	+$172.66	60% 4352-2914 (7266)
FL Flaznorp	Bianca Andreescuavg 94¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$48.9	51% 24233-22959 (47192)
38 38791873984189	Bianca Andreescuavg 94.6¢	$1.3K	$728.72	+$20.24	48% 59324-63332 (122656)
LI Limousin	Bianca Andreescuavg 83.9¢	$547.94	$617.08	+$69.14	54% 1193-1031 (2224)
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100	Jazmin Ortenziavg 14.9¢	$966.45	$353.34	-$613.11	50% 20743-20989 (41732)
└ Jazmin Ortenzi leg	Jazmin Ortenziavg 14.9¢	$831.28	$209.5	-$621.78
└ Bianca Andreescu leg	Bianca Andreescuavg 90.5¢	$135.17	$143.84	+$8.67
VE VenusianARB<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 95.9¢	$326.31	$309.88	-$16.43	52% 1162-1079 (2241)
└ Bianca Andreescu leg	Bianca Andreescuavg 95.9¢	$202.44	$201.51	-$0.93
└ Jazmin Ortenzi leg	Jazmin Ortenziavg 5.1¢	$123.87	$108.37	-$15.49
1L 1lovejump	Bianca Andreescuavg 84.6¢	$888.33	$238.45	+$9.25	52% 738-674 (1412)
tradecraftCTR	Jazmin Ortenziavg 20.8¢	$223.44	$209.47	-$13.96	51% 6278-6033 (12311)
VeryLucky888	Bianca Andreescuavg 84¢	$432.18	$121.7	+$4.42	58% 45442-32918 (78360)
EU Eulhunter<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 85.5¢	$82.31	$91.07	+$8.76	54% 6181-5226 (11407)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 86.1¢	$73.02	$78.07	+$5.05	52% 14229-13002 (27231)
CI cigarettes<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 97.2¢	$48.6	$49.98	+$1.38	53% 22636-19888 (42524)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 79.5¢	$47.72	$49.8	+$2.08	57% 19076-14112 (33188)
SE sentrio<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 85¢	$16.57	$16.66	+$0.1	50% 25488-25195 (50683)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Jazmin Ortenziavg 15¢	$11.53	$11.92	+$0.38	61% 14037-9041 (23078)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100	Jazmin Ortenziavg 9.8¢	$8.85	$10.35	+$1.5	65% 5174-2807 (7981)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 82.7¢	$24.8	$8.55	+$0.45	82% 7029-1518 (8547)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Bianca Andreescuavg 84.5¢	$8.37	$8.37	+$0	52% 8584-7828 (16412)
DV dv-pmCTR<$100	Jazmin Ortenziavg 15.6¢	$3.82	$3.54	-$0.28	49% 3294-3423 (6717)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100	Jazmin Ortenziavg 15¢	$1.73	$1.79	+$0.06	74% 2423-864 (3287)

LightParadox

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$4,741.93

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$109.95

Record

52%

1149-1045 (2194)

RN1

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$2,815.24

Value

$3.2K

PnL

+$358.51

Record

53%

60065-52434 (112499)

MadridTime

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$2,775.23

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$76.94

Record

51%

1095-1048 (2143)

thestingsnake

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$1,633.05

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$172.66

Record

60%

4352-2914 (7266)

Flaznorp

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$1,495.72

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$48.9

Record

51%

24233-22959 (47192)

38791873984189

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$1,284.35

Value

$728.72

PnL

+$20.24

Record

48%

59324-63332 (122656)

Limousin

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$547.94

Value

$617.08

PnL

+$69.14

Record

54%

1193-1031 (2224)

omnibus-076daaARB<$100

Jazmin Ortenzi

Invested

$966.45

Value

$353.34

PnL

-$613.11

Record

50%

20743-20989 (41732)

Both legs:

Jazmin Ortenzi$831.2814.9¢-$621.78

Bianca Andreescu$135.1790.5¢+$8.67

VenusianARB<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$326.31

Value

$309.88

PnL

-$16.43

Record

52%

1162-1079 (2241)

Both legs:

Bianca Andreescu$202.4495.9¢-$0.93

Jazmin Ortenzi$123.875.1¢-$15.49

1lovejump

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$888.33

Value

$238.45

PnL

+$9.25

Record

52%

738-674 (1412)

tradecraftCTR

Jazmin Ortenzi

Invested

$223.44

Value

$209.47

PnL

-$13.96

Record

51%

6278-6033 (12311)

VeryLucky888

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$432.18

Value

$121.7

PnL

+$4.42

Record

58%

45442-32918 (78360)

Eulhunter<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$82.31

Value

$91.07

PnL

+$8.76

Record

54%

6181-5226 (11407)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$73.02

Value

$78.07

PnL

+$5.05

Record

52%

14229-13002 (27231)

cigarettes<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$48.6

Value

$49.98

PnL

+$1.38

Record

53%

22636-19888 (42524)

BillBenter2026<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$47.72

Value

$49.8

PnL

+$2.08

Record

57%

19076-14112 (33188)

sentrio<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$16.57

Value

$16.66

PnL

+$0.1

Record

50%

25488-25195 (50683)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Jazmin Ortenzi

Invested

$11.53

Value

$11.92

PnL

+$0.38

Record

61%

14037-9041 (23078)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100

Jazmin Ortenzi

Invested

$8.85

Value

$10.35

PnL

+$1.5

Record

65%

5174-2807 (7981)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$24.8

Value

$8.55

PnL

+$0.45

Record

82%

7029-1518 (8547)

ameisgoat11<$100

Bianca Andreescu

Invested

$8.37

Value

$8.37

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

8584-7828 (16412)

dv-pmCTR<$100

Jazmin Ortenzi

Invested

$3.82

Value

$3.54

PnL

-$0.28

Record

49%

3294-3423 (6717)

rayvanmechelenCTR<$100

Jazmin Ortenzi

Invested

$1.73

Value

$1.79

PnL

+$0.06

Record

74%

2423-864 (3287)

Research grade

NeutralBianca Andreescu at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Bianca Andreescu

16 of 21 top traders (76%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Bianca Andreescu wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.