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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1UnderperformingForALivingUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)40% (75–113, n=188)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$14.8M$315K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #140PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus68% (221 of 323 open)59% (143 of 243 open)100% (2 of 2 open)60% (65 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)19% (won 14% of 37)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)26% (won 44% of 50)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)29% (won 59% of 56)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)25% (won 77% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 78 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1UnderperformingForALivingUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.5K—Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $35—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $7—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274Under $1.7K—Under $82
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42No $1.3K—Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $720Under $20—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10Yes $162—No $288
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51Over $28—Under $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101Under $1.1K—Under $931
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $12K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382—Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1K—No $3.9K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.5K—Under $753
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $4.0KCeltics $485——
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $977—Yes $3.3K
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Under $2.3K
Clube do Remo vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Under $160
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301No $2.4K——
Gil Vicente FC vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $390—Under $2.2K
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $2.2KCeltics $3——
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KBucks $765——
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0K—Yes $872
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $223
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $535—Under $1.3K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.6KBucks $57——
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5KOver $23——
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.3KKnicks $158——
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $58—No $1.4K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $138——
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Senators $66Sabres $1.3K——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420——Under $762
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0KOver $12——
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $988Bulls $47——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486No $529——
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $690Under $87——
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $763Under $8——
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $686—Under $9
St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $689
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $598Over $46——
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $78Over $535——
O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $457—Under $146
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $555Bulls $16——
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $330Over $235——
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $430Under $106——
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4—Yes $520
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $495——Yes $1
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $297Pacers $180——