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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | JudgeLance | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6585–6162, n=12747) | 67% (33–16, n=49) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | -$36K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (178 of 253 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (23 of 41 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 71% (won 54% of 48) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 22% (won 87% of 15) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | JudgeLance | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $10K | — | Over $240 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $541 | — | No $5.4K | — |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.9K | — | Over $407 | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | — | Under $83 | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $531 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $137 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $31K | — | Under $11K | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu same side · consensus Claire Liu | Claire Liu $17K | — | Claire Liu $18K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $489 | — | — | No $15K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | — | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $6.4K | — | No $5.6K | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki same side · consensus Coleman Wong | Yosuke Watanuki $26 | — | Yosuke Watanuki $2.3K | — |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm | Kristjan Tamm $1.4K | — | Kristjan Tamm $448 | — |
| Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $15 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $319 | — | — | Under $718 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | — | Under $595 |
| Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $810 | — | Yes $71 | — |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $776 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | No $481 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $112 | — | — | Yes $52 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $129 | — | — | CD Pamplona $6 |