Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Claire Liu — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Claire Liu
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
Resolved Claire Liu. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Claire Liu. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Claire Liu 55%
1 arb excluded
$185.2K
$9.2K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 31 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Claire Liuavg 67.6¢ | $25.1K | $29.7K | +$4.7K | 46% 1775-2086 (3861) |
 RN1 | Claire Liuavg 64.5¢ | $18.5K | $24.8K | +$6.3K | 53% 62265-54490 (116755) |
65 6512395314597884 | Claire Liuavg 61.5¢ | $24.6K | $21.5K | +$3.0K | 51% 4999-4865 (9864) |
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Claire Liuavg 53.6¢ | $16.2K | $20.9K | +$9.7K | 42% 8117-11313 (19430) |
LI Limousin | Claire Liuavg 58.2¢ | $18.2K | $18.3K | +$61.58 | 50% 1821-1809 (3630) |
MA MadridTime | Claire Liuavg 64.8¢ | $21.1K | $17.2K | $-3.9K | 48% 1742-1871 (3613) |
VE Venusian | Claire Liuavg 60¢ | $21.9K | $16.4K | +$4.4K | 49% 1807-1885 (3692) |
 alpheclabs2 | Claire Liuavg 49¢ | $10.0K | $10.0K | +$5.1K | 47% 1353-1531 (2884) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Claire Liuavg 67.5¢ | $7.3K | $7.1K | -$220.56 | 52% 14644-13309 (27953) |
LI LightParadox | Claire Liuavg 66.9¢ | $4.5K | $5.9K | +$1.4K | 49% 1765-1864 (3629) |
EU Eulhunter | Claire Liuavg 66.1¢ | $2.8K | $3.9K | +$1.2K | 54% 6320-5389 (11709) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Claire Liuavg 66.1¢ | $3.1K | $3.4K | +$275.9 | 50% 21530-21816 (43346) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Claire Liuavg 61.2¢ | $1.7K | $2.3K | +$591 | 51% 2054-1984 (4038) |
TH thestingsnake | Claire Liuavg 82.2¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$263.3 | 60% 4504-3004 (7508) |
KK KkunnCTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 23¢ | $11.1K | — | $-9.6K | 42% 253-343 (596) |
1L 1lovejump | Claire Liuavg 66.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$40.19 | 53% 825-731 (1556) |
NM NM-PCTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 46.6¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 64% 10175-5710 (15885) |
GC GC-PCTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 47¢ | $392.58 | — | -$392.58 | 64% 10173-5762 (15935) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYearCTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 38¢ | $7.5K | — | $-2.9K | 46% 451-536 (987) |
 isco22CTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 59.2¢ | $6.2K | — | $-6.2K | 64% 142-79 (221) |
DA darkumbreon88 | Claire Liuavg 52¢ | $182.8 | $351.53 | +$168.73 | 64% 2035-1134 (3169) |
 VeryLucky888ARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 46.7¢ | $313.72 | $200 | -$113.72 | 58% 47459-34244 (81703) |
| └ Claire Liu leg | Claire Liuavg 51¢ | $102 | $200 | +$29 | |
| └ Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 46.7¢ | $653.1 | — | -$142.72 | |
PL pltrkr111CTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 47¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 55% 789-656 (1445) |
WH whosayCTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 53.2¢ | $853.16 | — | -$853.16 | 56% 1163-900 (2063) |
HI hi774cCTR | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 47¢ | $1.1K | — | -$523.41 | 46% 5310-6147 (11457) |
Invested
$25,061.78
Value
$29.7K
PnL
+$4.7K
Record
46%
1775-2086 (3861)
RN1Invested
$18,524.32
Value
$24.8K
PnL
+$6.3K
Record
53%
62265-54490 (116755)
Invested
$24,625.62
Value
$21.5K
PnL
+$3.0K
Record
51%
4999-4865 (9864)
Invested
$16,181.58
Value
$20.9K
PnL
+$9.7K
Record
42%
8117-11313 (19430)
Invested
$18,224.34
Value
$18.3K
PnL
+$61.58
Record
50%
1821-1809 (3630)
Invested
$21,082.73
Value
$17.2K
PnL
$-3.9K
Record
48%
1742-1871 (3613)
Invested
$21,877.16
Value
$16.4K
PnL
+$4.4K
Record
49%
1807-1885 (3692)
alpheclabs2Invested
$10,000
Value
$10.0K
PnL
+$5.1K
Record
47%
1353-1531 (2884)
Invested
$7,287.73
Value
$7.1K
PnL
-$220.56
Record
52%
14644-13309 (27953)
Invested
$4,457.53
Value
$5.9K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
49%
1765-1864 (3629)
Invested
$2,773.06
Value
$3.9K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
54%
6320-5389 (11709)
Invested
$3,084.86
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$275.9
Record
50%
21530-21816 (43346)
Invested
$1,659
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$591
Record
51%
2054-1984 (4038)
Invested
$1,991.92
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$263.3
Record
60%
4504-3004 (7508)
Invested
$11,118.5
Value
—
PnL
$-9.6K
Record
42%
253-343 (596)
Invested
$1,220.58
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$40.19
Record
53%
825-731 (1556)
Invested
$1,043.61
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
64%
10175-5710 (15885)
Invested
$392.58
Value
—
PnL
-$392.58
Record
64%
10173-5762 (15935)
Invested
$7,500
Value
—
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
46%
451-536 (987)
isco22CTRInvested
$6,150.5
Value
—
PnL
$-6.2K
Record
64%
142-79 (221)
Invested
$182.8
Value
$351.53
PnL
+$168.73
Record
64%
2035-1134 (3169)
VeryLucky888ARB<$100Invested
$313.72
Value
$200
PnL
-$113.72
Record
58%
47459-34244 (81703)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,800.19
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
55%
789-656 (1445)
Invested
$853.16
Value
—
PnL
-$853.16
Record
56%
1163-900 (2063)
Invested
$1,113.64
Value
—
PnL
-$523.41
Record
46%
5310-6147 (11457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Claire Liu — $29.7K
RN1
Claire Liu — $24.8K
6512395314597884
Claire Liu — $21.5K
ferrariChampions2026
Claire Liu — $20.9K
Limousin
Claire Liu — $18.3K
MadridTime
Claire Liu — $17.2K
Venusian
Claire Liu — $16.4K
alpheclabs2
Claire Liu — $10.0K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Claire Liu — $7.1K
LightParadox
Claire Liu — $5.9K