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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJ-E-RRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)44% (164–208, n=372)48% (14338–15838, n=30176)50% (20622–20404, n=41026)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$42K$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #418PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus66% (188 of 284 open)89% (64 of 72 open)48% (31 of 64 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +4 pts n=53, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −1 pts, n=78——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)70% (won 4% of 263)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 53% of 15)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 70% of 23)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)20% (won 92% of 76)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJ-E-RRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1KUnder $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $1.4K—Alexandra Shubladze $2.8K—
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3K—Yes $1.7K—
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $733—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
Will Tokushima Vortis win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $94—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $928—Yes $1—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $750Yes $74
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Will FC Imabari win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $576—Yes $40—
Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $193—Over $337—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu $136—Kataller Toyama $33—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137——Yes $2
Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $93—Yes $4—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $23K—Under $7.9K—
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $17K—No $4.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489——No $15K
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $12K—Yes $3.3K—
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.7K—No $7.1K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.5K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K—No $5.8K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K—No $5.4K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K—No $406—
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
Kristjan Tamm $1.4K—Kristjan Tamm $111—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319——Under $718
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Over $7
Ōita Trinita leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $245—Yes $782—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $361——Under $595
Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $509—No $10—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $243—No $7—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112——Yes $52