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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGC-Pndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)82% (5642–1272, n=6914)63% (992–576, n=1568)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$148K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #614PM monthly #96PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (119 of 166 open)66% (39 of 59 open)69% (52 of 75 open)57% (21 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4406 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 262)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 913)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 971)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2260)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGC-Pndb1RN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KYes $643—No $2.5K
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $82Justina Mikulskyte $1—Justina Mikulskyte $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.0K——Yes $6.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $354——Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $191——Antonia Ruzic $1.2K
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $31——
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $50——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $291——Ipek Oz $685
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9No $936——
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $739——Under $169
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $621No $285——
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $553No $335——
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $47——No $627
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $107——Under $492
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $345No $17——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $252Yes $41——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $159Seahawks $7——
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
Gina Feistel $13K——Gina Feistel $16K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2KNo $1.2K——
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $3.5K——Robin Montgomery $407
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.3KNo $514——
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.0K——Under $478
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $932——
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Under $453
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $494No $1.8K——
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9KNo $350——
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $458
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $186——
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Under $54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $536No $751——
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $186——
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $848No $365——
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $159No $959——
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $233No $861——
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $711No $70——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $359No $328——
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $357——Over $189
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $319Yes $200——
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $320No $160——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $159Dolphins $125——
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $228Yes $53——