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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FakeMadridferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market32% (12–26, n=38)51% (35–33, n=68)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL—-$22K$61K-$22K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (4 of 8 open)72% (163 of 227 open)48% (44 of 91 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFakeMadridferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $1.8K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.7KUnder $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Nuggets $3.1KRockets $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $872Over $3.0K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $132Nuggets $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $147Yes $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $12
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $2.4KRockets $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $445Under $1.4K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.6KHornets $162—
CS 2 de Mayo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $33
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $836Yes $60
Pelicans vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $667Warriors $213
Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $511Over $309
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $95Rockets $686
Exact Score: Sportivo Luqueno 2 - 2 CS 2 de Mayo?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1No $539
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Duncan Chan
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
——Liam Draxl $438Duncan Chan $70
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $122Over $6
Exact Score: Sportivo Luqueno 3 - 3 CS 2 de Mayo?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $13Yes $3
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $2Pelicans $3
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
——Aryna Sabalenka $12KAryna Sabalenka $84K
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
same side · consensus Nicolas Mejia
——Nicolas Mejia $2.9KNicolas Mejia $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Knoxville: Trevor Svajda vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Max Hans Rehberg $504Max Hans Rehberg $6.1K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.7KOver $86—
Will Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.8KNo $295
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $619Rockets $2.7K
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $255Pelicans $2.6K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $2.0KRaptors $129
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $1.6KPelicans $128
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $844Over $394
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $94Under $1.1K
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $427Raptors $637
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $689Suns $245
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $137Raptors $249
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $11Over $364
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-25.5)
same side · consensus Ohio State Buckeyes
——Ohio State Buckeyes $273Ohio State Buckeyes $71
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $178Cavaliers $118
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1