Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ETHhedgefantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (16–14, n=30)71% (2239–910, n=3149)48% (512–551, n=1063)
Consensus PnL—$586K$432K$545K
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #36PM monthly #13PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (162 of 327 open)69% (90 of 130 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 396)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 215)37% (won 100% of 126)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 63% of 112)50% (won 100% of 171)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketETHhedgefantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.0KUnder $19K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
——Arkansas State $327Coastal Carolina $11K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Duke $314Miami (FL) $10K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
——Portugal $1.5KDenmark $5.5K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $3.9K
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $3.1KYes $35
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
——George Mason Patriots $72Bradley Braves $2.9K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KOver $733
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Florida $460Kentucky $940
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $132Mavericks $1.2K
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C
opposite sides · consensus Team Liquid
——LEGION $10Team Liquid $877
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
——Bradley Braves $83George Mason Patriots $552
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
——Northwestern $198Ohio State $372
Will AS Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $421No $46
Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $316Yes $4
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $221Yes $2
Knoxville: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniel Milavsky
same side · consensus Abedallah Shelbayh
——Abedallah Shelbayh $8.6KAbedallah Shelbayh $85K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.4KNo $17
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KOver $407
Brose Bamberg vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn
same side · consensus Telekom Baskets Bonn
——Telekom Baskets Bonn $884Telekom Baskets Bonn $179
RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $816Under $13
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $435Under $283
M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Pedro Sakamoto
same side · consensus Pedro Sakamoto
——Pedro Sakamoto $651Pedro Sakamoto $58
RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $444Under $98
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
——Cincinnati $13Cincinnati $361
M15 Naples, FL: Jack Secord vs Dragos Cazacu
same side · consensus Dragos Cazacu
——Jack Secord $1Jack Secord $141