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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2750–1138, n=3888)48% (641–685, n=1326)53% (498–446, n=944)
Consensus PnL—$518K$564K$664K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #18PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (60 of 119 open)54% (22 of 41 open)41% (28 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Flames $225Kings $7Flames $10K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $157Nitin Kumar Sinha $49
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $201Santa Clara Broncos $3.1KNew Mexico Lobos $616
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $37Kings $50Flames $156
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $779Texas Tech $3.3KTexas Tech $5.9K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $68K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30—Utah $15K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $15KDucks $592
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Utah $9.7KArizona $2.4K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $12Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $1.7K—
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
——Wyoming $91UTEP $2.7K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $1.6KDucks $578
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $267—Oklahoma $507
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $221
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $71
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $50—Sharks $22
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $19KOver $677
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
——North Texas $2.2KNorth Texas $541
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
same side · consensus Sydney Kings
—Sydney Kings $818Sydney Kings $396—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4Over $1.1K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $843Over $183
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $42Over $705—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $11Over $509
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $32—Islanders $368
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $336Melbourne Renegades $42—
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28—Over $319
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3