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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2750–1138, n=3888)52% (560–514, n=1074)48% (641–685, n=1326)
Consensus PnL—$518K$410K$564K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (60 of 119 open)64% (48 of 75 open)54% (22 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)34% (won 100% of 145)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)52% (won 100% of 219)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 100% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $12Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Flames $225Flames $3.6KKings $7
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $843
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7K—Nitin Kumar Sinha $157
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $201—Santa Clara Broncos $3.1K
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
opposite sides · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K—Utah Valley Wolverines $1.7K
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
——North Dakota State $2.3KHawai'i $676
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.2KIslanders $1.6K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $651Under $996
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $142—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $19K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $779—Texas Tech $3.3K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.0KOver $4
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
——Utah $627Utah $2.4K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30Arizona $3.0K—
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
same side · consensus Sydney Kings
—Sydney Kings $818—Sydney Kings $396
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $13Under $1.0K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32Under $997—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $42—Over $705
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $336—Melbourne Renegades $42
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
—Kings $37—Kings $50
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $45—