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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)65% (4437–2347, n=6784)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.2M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #87was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)68% (42 of 62 open)59% (123 of 207 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Pan9X
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $33KUnder $2
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $30KRobin Montgomery $8
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
—Inaki Montes $27KDamir Dzumhur $40
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SV 07 Elversberg
—SV 07 Elversberg $20KBV Borussia 09 Dortmund $12
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
—Arsenal FC $18KHull City AFC $2
Clemson vs. Syracuse
opposite sides · consensus Syracuse
—Syracuse $17KClemson $27
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus ES Troyes AC
—ES Troyes AC $13KParis Saint-Germain FC $6
Spread: LSU (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—Alabama $9.7KLSU $7
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.9KOver $42
UCLA vs. Minnesota
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Minnesota $7.7KUCLA $31
Spread: San Jose State (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $4.4KNorthern Illinois $7
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KOver $8
Spread: UCLA (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Minnesota $776UCLA $13
Spread: Utah (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus BYU
—Utah $589BYU $7
Spread: Purdue (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Purdue
—Maryland $395Purdue $13
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $185Over $55
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Augsburg
—FC Augsburg $42RB Leipzig $51
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $23KOver $29
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $22KMaple Leafs $20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hull City AFC
—Hull City AFC $12KHull City AFC $8
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $36
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $37
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7KCarlos Alcaraz $31
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.7KOver $28
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KOver $30
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KOver $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $52
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $52
Spread: Texas (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas
—Missouri $1.1KMissouri $7
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $346Under $7
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
—FC Bayern München $188FC Bayern München $32