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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)57% (10213–7746, n=17959)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$4.8M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #87PM monthly #92was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)64% (14 of 22 open)72% (108 of 150 open)55% (73 of 132 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1Pan9X
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $6.8K—UTEP $93
Fresno State vs. Utah State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $5
Wyoming vs. UNLV: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $847—Over $222
Spread: Texas Tech (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $136—West Virginia $10
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $20—No $21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292K—Yes $11K—
Spread: Hawai'i (-7.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $50K—UTEP $72
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $31K—Wyoming $615
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $17K—Texas State $390
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $14K—Falcons $3
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—West Virginia $8.4K—West Virginia $511
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
—BetBoom Team $719—BetBoom Team $11
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $151—No $301
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $159—Falcons $6
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $103—Texas Tech $24